Bubba and 21%: A political analysis

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Gromit
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Bubba and 21%: A political analysis

Post by Gromit »

Greetings! Apologies in advance for the long post, but I think it's worth a read.

I have been purposefully silent on the political discussion in general but have thoroughly enjoyed the banter and have read virtually all of the posts on the various issues.

As someone who is fiscally conservative and socially liberal-- who is both for women's reproductive rights, pro-gun and pro capital punishment despite the racial disparities in our legal system (there I said it) -- I know I don't fit into any specific political party's geography (at least on paper).

That being said I consider myself thoughtful and respectful of all positions and am considering the prospect of running for public office some day in the near future.

Like most women considering public service, I felt the need to gain some experience both in the classroom as well as the field of politics and am currently a Fellow in a prominent leadership program here in Virginia that focuses not on partisanship but on issues.

The program seeks to return both civilty and trust to politics in Virginia and the nation. The program identifies future leaders and grooms them in this mold. To date, 16 graduates of the program serve in the General Assembly and hundreds more serve on boards and commissions throughout the state.

This program has allowed me access to powerful Republicans, Democrats and Independents here in Virginia. We personally interact with elected officials (at all levels), business leaders, constitutional scholars and the like.

One of the more interesting people we've met with thus far was a former Delegate from Southern Virginia (Danville-- which has suffered from losses of manufacturing jobs and the decline of the tobacco industry). Danville is hurting economically.

The former Delegate's name is Barnie Day. He speaks in a slow southern drawl and a biting wit.

He told us that to win most any election we only have to focus on 21% of voters. He said that 30% of your voters will be Democrats and will almost always vote for a Democrat. Another 30% will be Republicans and will almost always vote Republican. So that leaves you with 40% (a majority higher than either end of the spectrum) of the population that is somewhere in the middle. And to win, you only have to focus your efforts on the majority of those voters... or 21%.

And that 21% (in Virginia at least -- and I suspect many other states in the US) will look something like "Bubba" as characterized by former Del. Day below.

The reality is that it is the "Bubba's" of this country that will decide who the next president will be. This was published in the Richmond-Times Dispatch in July of this year.

Please read and discuss away!!


Bubba Believes in Religion (and other true facts)By Barnie Day

Bubba doesn't write checks, or use ATMs. Bubba's ol' lady keeps up with the money. Bubba prefers folding, front pocket whip-out.

Bubba doesn't send emails. He owns a cell phone, but he only uses it during deer season. He doesn't own a BlackBerry. Bubba likes blackberry cobbler.

Bubba doesn't wear Crocs, or cook with olive oil. Or balsamic vinegar. Bubba doesn't peel his tomatoes.

Bubba doesn't think men ought to marry men, or women women. He's got a cousin who's a little bit light in the loafers, but everybody knows that's 'cause his mama let him put on lipstick and play dress-up when he was little.

Bubba might call his mother-in-law by her first name, and he might not. It depends on whether or not she's still alive. When he's just thinking about her, the b-word rises in.

Bubba thought a lot of Jesse Helms. He wouldn't vote for Hillary if she was the last man on earth -- and not just because of the fat ankles. Bubba never had trouble with fat ankles. His mama and his sister and his wife have them. Too bad about ol' Jesse.

Bubba doesn't shop. His ol' lady buys his clothes for him -- she knows what to get -- he likes logos and decals. Anything else he needs, his sister orders it from Cabella's on her credit card and Bubba gives her the money from his whip-out.

Bubba knows some good minorities. He works with a few of them. The ones he knows are alright. He don't trust the rest of them -- and he don't like it when they marry Americans. Bubba thinks folks ought to marry their own kind.

Bubba lies to the pollster. It's none of their damn business. He don't like McCain, or Obama, neither, but he'll probably vote. He just ain't decided how yet. Not for certain. McCain's ol' lady's just got too much money. He wishes Dale, Jr. would run.

Bubba don't like banks or insurance companies. He thinks they're all sonsofbitches. He don't like preachers, neither. He thinks most of them are sonofibtches, too -- except the ones he knows.

Bubba believes in religion. He thinks everybody ought to believe in something, but he don't get too tangled up in the details. Bubba thinks religions are all about the same when it comes right down to it -- except for the Jews and the Catholics and the Muslims, the Lutherans, the Episcowhatyoucallems, and them high and mighty Presbyterians. And a 'nother thang -- he don't trust them churches that run off good preachers every four years. Or them you have to go to on Saturdays. Or them that call the head man anything besides 'preacher.'

Bubba thinks we ought to bomb the hell out of whoever is making gas go to four dollars a gallon.

Bubba doesn't have a garden. Bubba's got a garden-spot. He puts out beans, and taters and such.

Bubba doesn't play golf. He sights in his blackpowder on the weekends. He'll go to Myrtle Beach for a day or two, just to shut his ol' lady up, but he prefers Buggs Island.

Bubba has never paid someone to change his oil. Bubba doesn't have a job that pays mileage reimbursement.

Bubba drinks -- a little, on the weekends -- mostly beer. If he's got a bottle of Old Crow -- and he does -- it's in the tool box in the back of his truck. He'd drink water out of a mudhole before he would a glass of wine.

Bubba used to smoke -- and he still does when his ol' lady ain't around -- too much chin music now -- but not in the house -- out in his shop where he keeps his stuff.

Bubba ain't had a physical in years -- if he had insurance, they wouldn't cover it, the sonsofbitches. Besides that, Bubba don't like rubber gloves.

Bubba don't worry about physicals. Bubba knows none of us get out of this alive -- we all got to go sometime.

Bubba doesn't know what 'empowered' means. Bubba doesn't know what "empowered" feels like, and hasn't thought about it. Bubba doesn't know his time has come.

Bubba doesn't know what a "swing" voter is. He doesn't know that's what he is.

Bubba doesn't know he's going to elect the next President.

-- July 7, 2008
*Another fine scatterbrained production
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alw1977
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Post by alw1977 »

I think that's right. Each state has its own version of Bubba. Call them rednecks or whatever you like, the point is the same. Only I'm pretty sure that in Georgia, "Bubba" makes up about 35% of the vote. There's not much city living here outside of Atlanta.
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linne
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Post by linne »

Very, very funny. But I deny to believe that you should be able to find 21% "bubbas" in USA ?

Linne

BTW interesting program you are involved in.
California Girl

Post by California Girl »

I'm still undecided, but thank God I'm not a Bubba! Some of that language was so "folksy" I didn't understand some of it - what's "sighting blackpowder"? - target shooting? Probably Bubba's beer bottles out back. :lol:

I believe much of what is listed here is scary true, though. I see Bubba all the time on "Cops" so I'm familiar with him!
:lol:
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DCphoto
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Post by DCphoto »

Very funny! They must have written that story about Manassas! I think I went to school with "Bubba" back in the day.
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Lulu76
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Post by Lulu76 »

Those are the undecideds in Ohio, too. Trust me, I lived there.
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Gromit
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Post by Gromit »

SJ-- No need to see anything sinister in the "grooming" process. Just giving us the opportunity to dialogue with folks who may disagree with our particular point of view and to learn from the best and the brightest that Virginia has to offer.

We have debates that force us to take the opposite position on something we believe in and have to argue that position-- so we see things from another side.

We learn how to handle ourselves in a press conference, radio and TV interviews.

We learn how to work across the aisle and not to demonize folks of another party.

We pledge that when we run for office that we will run on the issues and not lower ourselves to name calling and use dirty tricks to get elected.

We learn to put the people we serve first and not ourselves.

We learn that the best results come from compromise and debate and not entrenching ourselves in ideology.

Most importantly we learn to think for ourselves and to consider all viewpoints before making policy decisions that will affect people's lives.

Surely you can't find anything objectionable in any of these approaches?

BTW of those 16 members of the VA General Assembly it just so happens that 7 are Democrats, 7 are Republicans and 2 are Independents. Funny how that works isn't it?
*Another fine scatterbrained production
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Gromit
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Post by Gromit »

Oh Linne -- the fact is that there are A LOT of "Bubba's" in this country.

Nothing wrong with it, they are -- in many ways -- the "salt of the earth."

These are the guys that grow our food, fix our cars, work in manufacturing jobs etc.
*Another fine scatterbrained production
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Lulu76
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Post by Lulu76 »

I think the world would be a better place if more politicians took the course you're in, Gromit.

Word on the street is that I might have to move to Virginia eventually (or at least that's what my man who lives there keeps saying), and when I do, I will be your biggest campaigner.
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Gromit
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Post by Gromit »

:D Thanks LuLu! I'll be sure to PM you when the time comes :wink:
*Another fine scatterbrained production
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Lulu76
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Post by Lulu76 »

I need to PM you anyhow. Flip says you may have some insight on the job market for me. Maybe you could just give me a job? :lol:
jmq
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Post by jmq »

Gromit - will you use your avatar image on your lawn sign?
When we come to place where the sea and the sky collide
Throw me over the edge and let my spirit glide
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soxfan22
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Post by soxfan22 »

See this is what I don't get. It's perfectly acceptable for the left to divide and label. I know, I know, to the "intellectuals" in this country, "bubba" is unpolished and unsophisticated. Even though of course, it is the bubba's in this country who really make things work. They are the farmers, the factory workers, the builders, the people who fix things when they break...I just don't get the people who feel the need to bash these folks. These are the Joe the Plumber's of the world. The guy the Democratic party tried to ruin after he asked a very legitimate, tough question.

I thought this email forward was funny, but it's message is not subtle.

My step-father and his sons would probably fit into this category. If you know anything about Eastern CT, you know we have pockets of people who fit into this "bubba" demographic. He thinks I'm a yuppie. But we agree on many of the political issues of the day. The kids all hunt, fish, shoot guns, work, fix cars, drive tractors, chew tobacco, drink Bud, ride 4-wheelers, weld...And you know what? They love their country as much as any of the so-called "intellectuals" that look down upon them as nothing more than a bunch of rubes. The funny thing is - these people corner the market on common sense.

I always thought the Democratic Party was one of inclusion - as long as you're not bubba, I guess.
July 2003 - Honeymoon at The Westin
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promoguy
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Post by promoguy »

I'd rather live next to 100 bubbas than one Nancy Pelosi.

Most bubbas have more brain power than those of us who have college diplomas hanging on the wall.
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