Double dip

A place for members to talk about things outside of Virgin Islands travel.
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XOXO
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Double dip

Post by XOXO »

I am really curious about everyone's take on this.

We were just in Branson shopping for our second home. We have been looking for a few months. My take on Branson was that tourism is steady and maybe even good but that real estate is even more dire. There have been a couple of abandoned developments and it seems that people are losing confidence. Is anyone seeing this anywhere else?

It has made me a little trigger shy. We are looking for upper end gated communities, with a pool and boat slip, and no maintenance. If the developer bails our beautiful house will lose value and our amenities may not be maintained. Am I thinking clearly on this?

By the way, our agent didn't tell us this, we just talked to home owners in the communities that we were interested in. Our agent only said that he was nervous that the developer moved to Florida. I asked for clarity a couple of times and didn't get it. That Is why I am asking here if I understand correctly.

xoxo
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XOXO
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Post by XOXO »

Mmmmm, that is what I am afraid of SJ. I feel like I am letting my husband down, the kill joy, but I just have a gut feeling that I don't think I should ignore. I was hoping to hear from the forum that I am crazy and it is a great time to buy.

xoxo
GraysonDave
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Post by GraysonDave »

My take is that there is certainly no RUSH to buy. Even if this is the very bottom and it's up from here, I don't see the recovery happening quickly. So I don't think you are risking much by waiting and seeing how things play out.
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augie
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Post by augie »

If you're looking at communities that are still under development - particularly if all or some of the major amenities only presently exist on a drawing, I'd be wary.

My brother bought into a great looking new development only to have the developer fail and bail, and now he's in a neighborhood with a lot of houses left in various stages of completeness and a nice sandy lot where the community center and pool are supposed to be.
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Lulu76
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Post by Lulu76 »

I read this article once in the Atlanta Journal Constitution about a guy who bought early in a new development.

Then the housing bust happened.

The reason there was an article in the AJC about this man is because his house was the only one finished. Not only did he never see a pool and clubhouse, but there wasn't even anyone to mow all the empty lots around him. So, he pretty much lived in an overrun jungle.

I know they say it's a buyer's market right now, but it's still risky. With a vacation home, it's not like you NEED to buy it to have a place to live. And I can imagine that the market for second homes is moving even slower than the market for homes intended to be full-time residences.

I'd wait it out. There are great deals on rentals for right now so you can still hit your favorite vacation spots. Yes, the price is good, but the market just isn't stable right now and a second home is more of an investment than a primary home is because even if a primary home never makes money, you have a place to live, so it maintains value. An investment property HAS to make money.
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XOXO
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Post by XOXO »

Our Realtor called and told us that we needed to make a good offer because the MLS is 92% of asking. I don't buy it. So, we aren't making an offer. We don't need it (agree with you LuLu) and I really don't think he is giving us the full story. He is suppose to be a buyer's realtor--that isn't the vibe I am getting from him. So, were out. As you can see, I am planning a few trips in the states, and I am holding off on looking for a 2nd home. I am looking forward to seeing these places!

xoxo
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toes in the sand
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Post by toes in the sand »

XOXO wrote: He is suppose to be a buyer's realtor--that isn't the vibe I am getting from him.

xoxo
There is no such thing as a buyers realtor. The realtor is working for
A)him/herself
B)His/her realty agency
C)The seller
D)The buyer
In that order because that is who signs the checks.
"got a drink in my hand and my toes in the sand"
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XOXO
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Post by XOXO »

Toes: I wish I could use my small town realtor! In a small town we all know each other and know who we are dealing with.

Ok, so, this guy said that he doesn't work for the seller and works for the buyer. But . . . yeah . . . I think you are right. I am sick of the 2nd home!

xoxo
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CindyM
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Post by CindyM »

I think the housing market (especially upper end) is going to continue to struggle for some time. We've spent the past year shopping for a second home in the Florida Panhandle area, and after sifting through county records, I was amazed at the amount of real estate tycoons that are out there trying to unload their real estate and are in financial trouble.

Try to do some research, dig into the county records (in Florida all the info is easily found online at the clerk of courts office), look at the lis pendens, foreclosures, and the insane real estate mortgages that people have on their homes and you might get a better feel for the area (and be more informed than your agent most likely.)
PA Girl
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Re: Double dip

Post by PA Girl »

XOXO wrote:I am really curious about everyone's take on this.

We were just in Branson shopping for our second home. We have been looking for a few months. My take on Branson was that tourism is steady and maybe even good but that real estate is even more dire. There have been a couple of abandoned developments and it seems that people are losing confidence. Is anyone seeing this anywhere else?

It has made me a little trigger shy. We are looking for upper end gated communities, with a pool and boat slip, and no maintenance. If the developer bails our beautiful house will lose value and our amenities may not be maintained. Am I thinking clearly on this?

By the way, our agent didn't tell us this, we just talked to home owners in the communities that we were interested in. Our agent only said that he was nervous that the developer moved to Florida. I asked for clarity a couple of times and didn't get it. That Is why I am asking here if I understand correctly.

xoxo
You are thinking clearly. It is happening all over Florida. The developer goes under or the bank cuts financing and then the promised golf course, club house, 24 hour security, etc. never happens.

Further, if enough homeowner's walk away from the properties, it creates a problem for the HOA/condo board when they can't meet the budget requirements for keeping the place running - roads maintained, landscaping, etc. We are seeing that in places in NE PA. People are walking away from their vacation propeties and the association has no one to go after for the fees.
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XOXO
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Re: Double dip

Post by XOXO »

PA Girl wrote: You are thinking clearly. It is happening all over Florida. The developer goes under or the bank cuts financing and then the promised golf course, club house, 24 hour security, etc. never happens.

Further, if enough homeowner's walk away from the properties, it creates a problem for the HOA/condo board when they can't meet the budget requirements for keeping the place running - roads maintained, landscaping, etc. We are seeing that in places in NE PA. People are walking away from their vacation propeties and the association has no one to go after for the fees.


Thank you so much. We have stopped looking and we are going to just vacation. We are in our early 40's so there isn't a rush. I feel so sorry for the homeowners. I can't imagine having to walk away. Just so sad. I hope this economy turns around quickly.

xoxo
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GraysonDave
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Post by GraysonDave »

Baltic Dry Index still falling

The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of commodity shipping costs, has fallen for the longest period in nine years, due to lower volumes of iron ore being shipped to China.
Surplus steel means manufacturers are relying on stockpiles, rather than shipping in iron ore from abroad.
The index of freight rates on international trade routes fell 38 points, or 2pc, to 1,902 points on Friday in its 31st straight decline.
Charter rates for all types of ships fell.



This is typically not a good sign. It means that world-wide economic activity is soft. Generally this index has been a good leading indicator. Makes me nervous about a double dip.
GraysonDave
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Post by GraysonDave »

Leading economic indicators not looking good.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/leadin ... they-right

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