usvi-on-line
Not sure if this a good or bad thing:
Not sure if this a good or bad thing:
Forecaster: 2 hurricanes in Oct., Nov.
2 hours, 59 minutes ago
Hurricane expert William Gray slightly downgraded his forecast Tuesday, calling for four named storms in October and November, including two hurricanes, one of them major.
Gray's team at Colorado State University had predicted five named storms in their earlier forecast for the two months.
"We expect October-November to be very active," said Phil Klotzbach, lead author of the hurricane forecast.
In April, Gray had predicted a "very active" 2007 season, with 17 named storms, including nine hurricanes, with five of them major hurricanes.
As of Oct. 1, a total of 13 named storms had developed, including four hurricanes. Two of the hurricanes were major.
Gray's team revises the forecast throughout the hurricane season, which lasts from June through November.
"August had somewhat above-average activity - about 130 percent of average - while September had about average activity - about 92 percent of average," Klotzbach said.
Eight named storms formed in September in the Atlantic basin, tying a record set in 2002 for the most in that month.
But measured by the combined strength and duration of those storms, this September was actually the least active in the Atlantic since 1997, the National Hurricane Center said. That is because most of the September storms were weak and short lived.
Gray has been forecasting hurricanes for more than two decades, and his predictions are watched closely by emergency responders and others in coastal areas.
In 2006, his team forecast nine hurricanes, five of them major. Instead, there were just five hurricanes, two of them major.
2 hours, 59 minutes ago
Hurricane expert William Gray slightly downgraded his forecast Tuesday, calling for four named storms in October and November, including two hurricanes, one of them major.
Gray's team at Colorado State University had predicted five named storms in their earlier forecast for the two months.
"We expect October-November to be very active," said Phil Klotzbach, lead author of the hurricane forecast.
In April, Gray had predicted a "very active" 2007 season, with 17 named storms, including nine hurricanes, with five of them major hurricanes.
As of Oct. 1, a total of 13 named storms had developed, including four hurricanes. Two of the hurricanes were major.
Gray's team revises the forecast throughout the hurricane season, which lasts from June through November.
"August had somewhat above-average activity - about 130 percent of average - while September had about average activity - about 92 percent of average," Klotzbach said.
Eight named storms formed in September in the Atlantic basin, tying a record set in 2002 for the most in that month.
But measured by the combined strength and duration of those storms, this September was actually the least active in the Atlantic since 1997, the National Hurricane Center said. That is because most of the September storms were weak and short lived.
Gray has been forecasting hurricanes for more than two decades, and his predictions are watched closely by emergency responders and others in coastal areas.
In 2006, his team forecast nine hurricanes, five of them major. Instead, there were just five hurricanes, two of them major.
Don’t worry Flip Flop – we’ll send good vibs your way to keep those nasty storms away. You’ve waited too long to get back to the island.flip-flop wrote:I hereby decree the USVI to be hurricane free for Oct/Nov! PLEASE! I don't think this board can take another flip-flop countdownI know I can't!
FlaGeorge
"Swim Against The Current - Even a Dead Fish Can Go With The Flow"
"Swim Against The Current - Even a Dead Fish Can Go With The Flow"
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Randy in MD
- Posts: 395
- Joined: Tue Aug 08, 2006 8:04 am
- Location: Shady Side, MD
Generally speaking, the Cape Verde season is winding down and the longer we go into the month, the more likely a storm will form closer to the US coast and not east of the islands. Wind shear in the eastern Atlantic has knocked down the past few storms that have tried to form and that shear shows no signs of letting up at this point. Weather forcasting is a hobby of mine and I'm optimistic!
Here's the web site for the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/Lulu76 wrote:Does anyone know the web address of that web site where you can go to see the hurricane forecast?
Now I'm paranoid about this, too.
FlaGeorge
"Swim Against The Current - Even a Dead Fish Can Go With The Flow"
"Swim Against The Current - Even a Dead Fish Can Go With The Flow"
