Earl

[Anthony]

Tropical storm warnings now up for the VI -

http://www.caribbean-on-line.com/hurric ... d-isl.html

[Tracy in WI]

I wish the best to all those on island and nearby.

[designbyroe]

Here wishing everyone on island safety

[liamsaunt]

I hope this storm, and every storm, misses the island that 99.9% of the people that visit this forum love.

[SOonthebeach]

Everyone down there be safe! We are thinking about ya'll. Goodbye Earl....

[StJohnRuth]

Ditto, I am wishing everyone safety who ends up in the path of this storm.
Goodbye Earl. (I love that Dixie Chicks tune.)

-Ruth

[Xislandgirl]

Thinking of all of you on island.

[mfaughey]

Thinking of everyone on St John or anywhere else that is in the path, hoping for the best....

Mike

[Xislandgirl]

Stay safe my friends! We are all (well, most of us) thinking of you and sending our thoughts and prayers to you.

[LMG]

For information's sake, the link Anthony had posted was simply a copy and paste, which has now been updated to the following:

000
WTNT32 KNHC 291159
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
800 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...EARL A LITTLE STRONGER...HEADED FOR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 57.6W
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO
IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING
WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.6 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT
AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EARL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
LATER TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS MAY SPREAD OVER THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON MONDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE
PATH OF THE CENTER OF EARL. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...WITH
POSSIBLE MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[Barbara]

Thanks for the clarification. Swing right, swing right! The rain is bad enough that they are expecting.

[sea-nile]

I hope everyone will be safe! Thinking of all of you there!

[jimg20]

We are due to arrive at STT Monday at about the same time as Earl. We expect the airport to be closed and Delta to move us to the Tuesday flight. We have already canceled our Tuesday and Wednesday dive trips. We'll talk to Amilia Car Rental later.

Here is hoping that all turns out well for our friends on the islands.

The Surfing in a Hurricane Tour will take place some time this week!


JIM

[sailorgirl]

We are due to arrive at STT Monday at about the same time as Earl. We expect the airport to be closed and Delta to move us to the Tuesday flight. We have already canceled our Tuesday and Wednesday dive trips. We'll talk to Amilia Car Rental later.

Here is hoping that all turns out well for our friends on the islands.

The Surfing in a Hurricane Tour will take place some time this week!


JIM

Good attitude, have a great trip

[Pia]

Posting from 30,000 feet trying to get home - will be there soon. Can't believe plane full of tourists who have NO idea what is gong on. Oh we are also on the plane with FEMA and Red Cross personel in route to STT - thanking them in advance but hoping we don't need their help

Pia